The weekend media gasbags seem to believe that "Guard-Gate" will soon fade, 
    leaving little damage to Bush's election prospects. Thus saith the pundits 
    on PBS's "Washington Week," and CNN's "Capital Gang."
	
I am not convinced. There are compelling indications that George Bush's 
    military record is a time bomb that might (repeat, might) toss 
    Dubya out of the White House come January, 2005 -- or even, perchance, off 
    the GOP ticket in November.
Much depends upon whether the media are prepared, at long last, to do their 
    proper jobs -- investigating and reporting. And there are indications that 
    they just might, if the public demands it. The sleeping giant is stirring.
	
The White House behavior to date has the distinct odor of a cover-up -- in 
    the form of what Nixon's Watergate gang called a "modified limited 
    hangout." Bush himself just vaguely states that he fulfilled his 
    responsibilities and received an Honorable Discharge. About the specifics of 
    his alleged duties in Alabama -- what he did, who he met, who and what might 
    vouch for his appearance -- he is silent. The Busheviks are clearly behaving 
    as if they have something to hide.
For consider: if the story were exactly as Bush would have us believe, there 
    would be overwhelming evidence to back him up -- dozens of eye-witnesses and 
    bales of paper. Clearly there is not, despite his handlers' desperate effort 
    to produce this evidence.
As an illustration of this point, consider the military service of 
    Partridge, E. D., Hospital Corpsman, US Naval Reserve. And, if you served in 
    the Reserves or the National Guard, compare it with your own experience.
	
During my eight year stint in the Naval Reserve, I was required to attend 
    monthly "drills" and an annual two week training exercise. I apparently did 
    so to the satisfaction of the Navy Department, for there is a certificate of 
    Honorable Discharge in my files.
I can vividly remember that at each monthly drill, I "mustered in" and thus 
    a paper record was made of my attendance. During my summer duties at various 
    Naval hospitals, I signed numerous papers, before, during and after, that 
    tour of duty. At the close, the supervising officers wrote out an evaluation 
    report for my file.
All of this, and much, much, more remains to this day in the several copies 
    of my Service Record; one in original "hard copy," another stored in 
    microfiche media, and portions thereof in various naval bases and 
    hospitals.. In addition, I worked closely with numerous fellow corpsmen, 
    doctors, nurses, and officers. If you asked me today to validate the 
    presence of many of them at the Oak Knoll, California, or the St. Albans, 
    New York, Naval Hospitals, I could do so, as, conversely, they could 
    identify me. 
Accordingly, if, say, I were to be charged today with an armed robbery that 
    took place simultaneously with, and hundreds of miles away from, my duty 
    station, I would have a rock-solid alibi.
This, mind you, is the paper trail of a lowly USNR enlisted man. Not that of 
    a commissioned Air Force officer, trained at hundreds of thousands of 
    dollars of taxpayer expense, given a coveted appointment ahead of hundreds 
    of applicants, and the son of a Congressman and former Ambassador with a 
    distinguished military record.
Now we are asked to accept Bush's word, on the strength of a few ambiguous 
    documents, the record of a dental appointment, and the memory of one 
    politically motivated "eyewitness" whose "confirmation" is of the wrong 
    date. In the "data dump" of some 400 pages, that, apparently, is all that he 
    has to offer us. Add to this the failure of any contemporaneous officers or 
    fellow trainees to step forward and validate Bush's attendance during the 
    time period in question.
Ex-Hospital Corpsman Partridge could, with his Service Record, provide 
    indisputable proof of his service, and particularly of the time and place of 
    his training assignments.. Why not Lt. G. W. Bush, who served as an Air 
    Force officer several years later?
Now consider this: If Bush in fact failed to fulfill his military obligation 
    in its fifth year, that would be a politically troublesome embarrassment. 
    But additionally, if so, then he told a flat-out lie to Tim Russert and to 
    the millions of citizens who watched or heard of the Meet the Press 
    interview. And that is a far greater offense.
But it gets even worse.
	
Retired Air Force officer Bill Burkett now claims, as he reported at 
    the time to numerous friends and associates, that he saw members of 
    then-Governor Bush's staff "cleanse" Bush's Service Record of embarrassing 
    documents. This report has been vehemently denied by the individuals who 
    allegedly did the "cleansing." One unsworn testimony against others: "He 
    said, she said."
What is particularly interesting about Burkett's report is that it may 
    matter very little whether or not he can validate it. What does matter, is 
    whether or not Bush's Service Record is complete. If it is not, it might be 
    a very simple matter, not only to prove that it is incomplete, but also to 
    identify which documents are missing.
This is so, because a Service Record is not a random collection of 
    disjointed documents. On the contrary, many of those documents are required 
    for the record, and others are cross-referenced with other documents. Thus 
    proving that a record is incomplete is as straightforward and unequivocal a 
    task as proving that a deck of playing cards is incomplete.
Thus a claim that "unfortunately, we don't have that document" (e.g. 
    attendance or medical records) should not end an inquiry. It should open a 
    more serious issue: namely, "why not?"
"Absence of evidence" might be evidence of a coverup.
	
Furthermore, "cleansing" a Service Record (a felony, by the way) is a 
    fruitless exercise, since a separate and complete Records exists in 
    microfiche. A successful "purging" must end up with perfect congruence of 
    all copies: paper and microfiche. This is unlikely, especially in view of 
    the military's fabled intoxication with paper, wherein nothing official 
    happens that is not recorded in quadruplicate -- doubly so for commissioned 
    officers. Thus if Bush's attendance and medical records happen to be missing 
    from his Service Record, they are probably obtainable from the microfiche on 
    file in Colorado, and parts thereof from the Texas and Alabama Air Force 
    Bases.
If these documents are thus recovered, there remains the very troublesome 
    question of explaining their absence from the hard-copy "original" Service 
    Record. "Sorry, we can't find that document" just won't cut it. 
				
The crime of purging a military service record can not be concealed from a 
    diligent investigator. Bush's only hope is that he can quash a diligent 
    investigation and keep the media's attention away from the issue. Sadly, 
    based on past experience, such a result is not out of the question.
	The Prosecution rests. Let's hear now from the Defense.
Bush's most direct encounter with the charges was on "Meet the Press," a 
    week ago Sunday. The interrogation by Tim Russert was not of a quality that 
    Perry Mason would envy. Even so, Bush did not help his case.
	
		Russert: [DNC Chairman Terrance McAuliffe] said this last week: 
      "I look forward to that debate when John Kerry, a war hero with a chest 
      full of medals, is standing next to George Bush, a man who was AWOL in the 
      Alabama National Guard. He didn't show up when he should have showed up." 
      ... 
Bush: Political season is here. I was -- I served in the National 
      Guard. I flew F-102 aircraft. I got an honorable discharge. I've heard 
      this. I've heard this ever since I started running for office. I put in my 
      time, proudly so.
	
	Jumping ahead for a moment:
	
		Russert: The Boston Globe and the Associated Press have gone 
      through some of their records and said there's no evidence that you 
      reported to duty in Alabama during the summer and fall of 1972.
Bush: Yeah, they're they're just wrong. There may be no evidence, 
      but I did report; otherwise, I wouldn't have been honorably discharged. In 
      other words, you don't just say "I did something" without there being 
      verification. Military doesn't work that way. I got an honorable 
      discharge, and I did show up in Alabama.
	
	Note first that the second and third sentences are directly 
    contradictory. On the one hand, he says "there may be no evidence, but I did 
    report." But then he goes on "you don't just say 'I did something' without 
    there being verification." But that's exactly what he just said (sentence 
    two)!
But leaving that aside, if "the Prosecution's" case is solid, here is a 
    flat-out lie: "They're just wrong... I did show up in Alabama." Well, there 
    is no evidence that he did. (Arguably, there is "wiggle room" here. He did, 
    it seems, "show up in Alabama" to have his teeth cleaned. But if a lie is 
    defined as a deliberate attempt to deceive, then he lied. It does not depend 
    on what the meaning of "is" is).
Back now to the "skipped" portion of the interview (immediately following 
    "... proudly so"):
	
		(Bush): I would be careful to not denigrate the Guard. It's fine 
      to go after me, which I expect the other side will do. I wouldn't 
      denigrate service to the Guard, though, and the reason I wouldn't, is 
      because there are a lot of really fine people who served in the National 
      Guard and who are serving in the National Guard today in Iraq.
	
	This is what propagandists and stage magicians call "displacement" -- 
    turning attention away from the relevant issue. Nobody, but nobody, among 
    the accusers is "denigrating the Guard." Indeed, the critics would readily 
    agree that "there are a lot of really fine people who served in the National 
    Guard." The point at issue is whether or not George W. Bush was among them.
	
Next to the question of access to Bush's military records:
	
		Russert: When allegations were made about John McCain or Wesley 
      Clark on their military records, they opened up their entire files. Would 
      you agree to do that? ... Would you allow pay stubs, tax records, 
      anything to show that you were serving during that period? ... Would you 
      authorize the release of everything to settle this? 
Bush: Yes, absolutely. We did so in 2000, by the way.
	
	Another lie. The very fact that new documents are appearing now proves 
    that Bush did not "release everything" in 2000. Add to this a broken 
    promise: Q. "Would you authorize the release of everything to settle 
    this?" A. Yes, absolutely. Well, he hasn't. He has held back his medical 
    records.
Obviously I've edited this conversation in the interest of clarity. Those 
    who suspect (incorrectly) that I have edited out exculpatory context are 
    invited to see the uninterrupted portion of the transcript dealing with 
    Bush's National Guard service 
	here, 
    or the transcript of the entire interview
    			
	
	here.
	The portion edited out above contains a lot of incoherent babble from 
    Bush. To wit:
	
		Bush: Yeah. Listen, these files -- I mean, people have been 
      looking for these files for a long period of time, trust me, and starting 
      in the 1994 campaign for governor. And I can assure you in the year 2000 
      people were looking for those files as well. Probably you were. And 
      absolutely. I mean, I --
Russert (again): But would you allow pay stubs, tax records, 
      anything to show that you were serving during that period?
Bush: Yeah. If we still have them, but I - you know, the records 
      are kept in Colorado, as I understand, and they scoured the records. And 
      I'm just telling you, I did my duty, and it's politics, you know, to kind 
      of ascribe all kinds of motives to me. But I have been through it before. 
      I'm used to it. What I don't like is when people say serving in the Guard 
      is -- may not be a true service. [THAT again! EP]
	
	That passage takes me back to..., now where? 
	Ah, yes! Captain 
    Queeq's defensive ranting in The Caine Mutiny Court Martial.
As embarrassing as all that is to read, much worse was the audio and visual 
    images -- the tone of voice, the facial expressions, the body language. Much 
    like Nixon's debacle in 1960 in the first debate with Kennedy, the visual 
    image of Bush was much more damaging than the audio, which in turn was worse 
    than the written transcript.
Even Bush's most steadfast supporters were embarrassed. For example, Peggy 
    Noonan, Ronald Reagan's speech writer, observed:
	
		The president seemed tired, unsure and often bumbling. His answers were 
      repetitive, and when he tried to clarify them he tended to make them 
      worse. He did not seem prepared. He seemed in some way disconnected from 
      the event. When he was thrown the semi-softball question on his National 
      Guard experience--he's been thrown this question for 10 years now--he 
      spoke in a way that seemed detached. 
	
	Bad as all that was, Press Secretary Scott McClellan's defense of Bush's 
    military career at a White House press conference was arguably worse. 
    Clutching a sheaf of copies of ambiguous military documents, like a Titanic 
    passenger grasping an overcrowded lifeboat, he repeated, over and over: 
    "these records verify that [the President] met the requirements necessary to 
    fulfill his duties." Repeated attempts by atypically aggressive White House 
    reporters to storm past that verbal gate were unavailing. 
	David Corn 
    thus describes this performance by McClellan:
	
		It was a remarkable exhibition of dissimulation that deserves to be 
      studied by students of political spin. He avoided remaining questions. He 
      kept insisting that these records meant there was nothing else to discuss. 
      He denied reality and refused to acknowledge there was documentary 
      evidence contradicting Bush's account. He was an automaton: these records 
      showed that he served, these records showed that he served, these records 
      showed that he served... 
		George W. Bush is lucky that Scott McClellan is not his lawyer and that 
      the White House press briefing room is not a courtroom. 
	
	Finally, the usual partisan GOP suspects came to Bush's defense, led by 
    RNC Chairman Ed Gillespie. In answer to DNC Chairman Terry McAuliffe's AWOL 
    charge against Bush,
	Gillespie responded: "This is a demonstrably false and malicious charge 
    that would be slanderous under any ordinary circumstance. It's not unusual, 
    however, for Mr. McAuliffe to not tell the truth on national television.'" 
    And, displaying his aversion to "malicious charges," Gillespie went on to 
    call McAuliffe "the John Wilkes Booth of character assassination." 
    			Marc Racicot,  Chair of Bush's Re-election committee, aimed his 
    rhetorical ordnance at John Kerry, not for what Kerry said but for his 
    silence on the issue, thus implicitly "supporting a slanderous attack on the 
    president by refusing to repudiate" McAuliffe.
	And so, lacking substantive rebuttal, Bush's defenders fell back to that 
    last desperate resort of the defeated court attorney: personally attacking 
    the accusers. Pathetic!
The Bush defense team is battling a hydra-monster: an "answer" begets a 
    multitude of new questions, each demanding new answers. Cover-ups must in 
    turn be covered up. The edifice of defense becomes ever more complicated, 
    incoherent, and unwieldy. 
	
	
	For example, we might imagine the following conversation (with all 
    "excuses" drawn from news accounts): 
	
		"Bush didn't take his physical, because his personal physician was not 
      available."
"But the Air Force requires the physicals be taken with Air Force 
      doctors."
"OK, disregard the former excuse. Instead, Bush didn't take the physical, 
      because he chose to discontinue flying."
"But an officer is not entitled to make such a decision on his own. He is 
      required to have a hearing before a flying evaluation board. There is no 
      record of Bush ever having that hearing."
"So strike that. Anyway, he stopped flying, because the Air Force was 
      phasing out the F-102."
"But Bush's unit in Texas continued to use the F-102s a year after Bush 
      left the Guard."
"Why do you hate America?"
	
	Sound familiar? If you are old enough to remember the Watergate scandal, 
    it should sound familiar. 
And we all know how that eventually turned out.
	
First Nixon, then Clinton, and now Bush, all behave like the wolf that was 
    snared by Peter's rope: the more they thrash about trying to break free, the 
    tighter the knot that closes around them. And now, at long last, the press 
    corps is waking up, smelling blood, and circling around the wounded prey.
	
Can the Bushistas continue to "fool enough of the people enough of the time" 
    to survive? They have the grand champions of propaganda and spin in their 
    corner, along with "the Mighty Wurlitzer" of the corporate media.
	
And yet the average American voter, though at times cognitively stupid, is 
    capable of displaying intuitive brilliance. Offer him evidence and a 
    logically structured argument, and Average Joe Voter will yawn. And if the 
    argument leads away from his settled convictions, prejudices and hunches, he 
    will resist, abandon the argument and stick with his beliefs. But if 
    something "just doesn't smell right," he'll catch on. Bush's performance on 
    "Meet the Press," in particular his tone of voice and body language, along 
    with the partisan "defenses" that have followed, betray a whiff of 
    desperation. They are failing the smell test. The media hounds are picking 
    up the scent, and eventually this sense of desperation will "trickle down" 
    to the ordinary folk who don't watch Tim Russert and the other Sabbath 
    Gasbags. And as this happens, throughout the realm closed minds may begin to 
    open up. The levee springs a leak: it begins with a few trickles and ends 
    with a flood. It has happened before: just ask the surviving members of the 
    Nixon administration.
As we conclude, let's assume, for a moment, our indictment of George Bush. 
    (a) He dodged "without leave" about a year of his sworn commitment to the 
    Air National Guard. (b) He lied about this on a nationally broadcast 
    interview program. (c) Earlier, his surrogates purged his Service Record of 
    damaging documents -- an act that could be exposed through a thoroughgoing 
    investigation and comparison of variously located documents.
Assume all this is true of the President. Then assume further that the 
    President is a Democrat, that the President in question is Bill Clinton, and 
    that the opposing party has arranged to have a hostile special prosecutor 
    with a budget of $70 million investigate these charges.
And then, as The Bard invites: "on your imaginary forces work."
	
"Equal justice under law?" I don't think so. Instead, we have one law for 
    the Democrats and no law for the Republicans. Thus Bush, Inc., has adopted a 
    variant of the Leona Helmsly maxim: "Rule of law is for the little people." 
    And so it is, unless and until We the People put an end to this outlaw 
    regime.
Granted, the alleged offense happened over thirty years ago -- ancient 
    history. But the cover-up is now, and it is ongoing. And time and again, 
    history has taught us that the cover-up is much worse than the offense. 
    Thirty years ago, George Bush cut corners on his sworn obligation to the Air 
    Force. Today, sitting in the Oval Office, he looks at a TV camera and 
    through it to the American people, and he lies openly and without scruple. 
    In so doing, he betrays his office and degrades the integrity of the United 
    States government, and he erodes the credibility of that government to the 
    American people and to the world. 
Judging from what we have learned about the character of the man, if the 
    issue persists and still more embarrassments come to light, they will be 
    countered with still more cover-ups -- more lies, and more vicious attacks 
    on the accusers.
The Busheviks devoutly hope that we've all heard about the last of 
    "Guard-Gate."
I doubt that we have. We are likely to see much more Water run under that 
    Gate.